Duke Researchers Develop Prediction Model to Identify Children With Complex Health Needs At Risk for Hospitalization

An important study led by Duke’s David Ming, MD, and AI Health’s Benjamin Goldstein, PhD, and Nicoleta Economou, PhD, on the use of predictive modeling to identify children with complex health needs who are at high risk for hospitalization, was recently published in Hospital Pediatrics, the official journal of the American, Academy of Pediatrics. The study analyzed data from electronic health records and found that certain demographic, clinical, and health service use factors were associated with a higher risk of future hospitalization. The authors, including Duke’s Richard Chung, MD, and Ursula Rogers, BS, suggest that the use of predictive modeling can help identify children with complex health needs who may benefit from targeted interventions to prevent hospitalizations and improve outcomes. The study is accompanied by a commentary by University of Wisconsin Neil Munjal, MD, MS, titled ‘Machine Learning: Predicting Future Clinical Deterioration in Hospitalized Pediatric Patients,’ which describes the Duke researchers’ machine learning approach as “thought-provoking.”